Global Trade and India in COVID-19 Times
Source: The Economic Times COVID-19 is inflicting high human and economic costs worldwide, as a result of which the world economy is projected to contract at 3 per cent this year. Advanced economies like US, Eurozone countries and Japan already mirrors the negative growth projection of the global economy. The pandemic’s economic adversity is predicted to be relatively lesser for the Emerging Markets. The Indian economy is projected to grow at 1.9 per cent in 2020 as per the IMF. Global Supply Chain Disruption and India’s Contracting Exports With this global economic growth disruption, the global supply chain has been severely impacted. As most international borders are sealed to contain the spread of virus and there is complete isolation, world trade is projected to decelerate at 11 per cent. Weak external demand due to supply chain disruptions has already hit Indian exports severely, and they contracted by 34 per cent in March 2020 on a y-o-y basis. While the oil pri